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Posted By Topic: TOP 20 Original Indonesian-Malay Love Songs in February 2025       - Views: 76
Fahrenheit 28-Feb 2025 Friday 3:59 PM (93 days ago)
tng thong kuo and Eleven Men  2 Likes  
              #1
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"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Total Members: 46
 
tng thong kuo and Eleven Men  2 Likes  
 Like     



tng thong kuo 07-May 2025 Wednesday 12:32 PM (25 days ago)            #2
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Posts: 69972
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AB$: 1,036,562.50
Ranked:
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Bro  @Fahrenheit 
Nowadays you find new Indonesian girls friends ar? 



Once in your life you will come across a special person that makes you happy, supports you and makes you a better person, don't let them go! 😍💋😊🇸🇬


Past 10 Forum's AH Pick Results : LLWLWLWLLD (Updated 31/5/2025 @ 7:26PM)
For Under/Over : UOOUUUUOUU & Even/Odd : EEOEOEEOOE


Posted English Forum 25/5/2025 @ 8:39PM : Brentford -1/4 (1-1) Lost Half
Posted America Forum 26/5/2025 @ 1:08AM : Cincinnati -0 (4-2) Lost
Posted Italian Forum 26/5/2025 @ 1:50AM : Parma +3/4 (2-3) Won
Posted Misc Forum 26/5/2025 @ 10:43PM : Mjallby AIF -1/2 (1-1) Lost
Posted Asian Forum 27/5/2025 @ 4:05PM : Jeju -0 (0-1) Won
Posted German Forum 27/5/2025 @ 11:49PM : Braunschweig -1/2 (0-2) Lost
Posted Asian Forum 28/5/2025 @ 1:33PM : Cerezo Osaka +1/4 (0-0) Won Half
Posted America Forum 28/5/2025 @ 11:52PM : Orlando City -1/4 (3-2) Lost
Posted Misc Forum 29/5/2025 @ 1:45PM : Brommapojkarna -0 (0-1) Lost
Posted Asian Forum 31/5/2025 @ 1:33PM : Avispa Fukuoka -0 (0-0) Draw No Bet


Latest pick : Posted Misc Forum 31/5/2025 @ 7:47PM : Elfsborg -0


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
BNW
(Est. May 2019)

Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 91,753,437 Total Members: 1553
 
Fahrenheit  1 Likes  
 Like     
Fahrenheit 07-May 2025 Wednesday 1:50 PM (25 days ago)            #3
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Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 47



    

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quote originally posted by tng thong kuo:
Bro  @Fahrenheit 
Nowadays you find new Indonesian girls friends ar?


No lah, this is my YouTube channel sharing music produces by me, got Indonesian, got Tagalog, got Vietnamese, Burmese, Thai, Korean, Japanese songs 

 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Total Members: 46
 
tng thong kuo  1 Likes  
 Like     
tng thong kuo 07-May 2025 Wednesday 1:55 PM (25 days ago)            #4
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 69972
Liked By: 54211
Joined: 11 Mar 09
Followers: 23



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 1,036,562.50
Ranked:
#743

 
quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
No lah, this is my YouTube channel sharing music produces by me, got Indonesian, got Tagalog, got Vietnamese, Burmese, Thai, Korean, Japanese songs 




Oh OK bro
I support you, subscribed 
​​​​​​



Once in your life you will come across a special person that makes you happy, supports you and makes you a better person, don't let them go! 😍💋😊🇸🇬


Past 10 Forum's AH Pick Results : LLWLWLWLLD (Updated 31/5/2025 @ 7:26PM)
For Under/Over : UOOUUUUOUU & Even/Odd : EEOEOEEOOE


Posted English Forum 25/5/2025 @ 8:39PM : Brentford -1/4 (1-1) Lost Half
Posted America Forum 26/5/2025 @ 1:08AM : Cincinnati -0 (4-2) Lost
Posted Italian Forum 26/5/2025 @ 1:50AM : Parma +3/4 (2-3) Won
Posted Misc Forum 26/5/2025 @ 10:43PM : Mjallby AIF -1/2 (1-1) Lost
Posted Asian Forum 27/5/2025 @ 4:05PM : Jeju -0 (0-1) Won
Posted German Forum 27/5/2025 @ 11:49PM : Braunschweig -1/2 (0-2) Lost
Posted Asian Forum 28/5/2025 @ 1:33PM : Cerezo Osaka +1/4 (0-0) Won Half
Posted America Forum 28/5/2025 @ 11:52PM : Orlando City -1/4 (3-2) Lost
Posted Misc Forum 29/5/2025 @ 1:45PM : Brommapojkarna -0 (0-1) Lost
Posted Asian Forum 31/5/2025 @ 1:33PM : Avispa Fukuoka -0 (0-0) Draw No Bet


Latest pick : Posted Misc Forum 31/5/2025 @ 7:47PM : Elfsborg -0


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
BNW
(Est. May 2019)

Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 91,753,437 Total Members: 1553
 
Fahrenheit  1 Likes  
 Like     
Fahrenheit 07-May 2025 Wednesday 2:04 PM (25 days ago)            #5
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 53539
Liked By: 41498
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 47



    

Tipsters
Championship:
Player has
not started

 
quote originally posted by tng thong kuo:

Oh OK bro
I support you, subscribed 
​​​​​​


Thanks bro 

 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Total Members: 46
 
tng thong kuo  1 Likes  
 Like     
tng thong kuo 07-May 2025 Wednesday 2:07 PM (25 days ago)            #6
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 69972
Liked By: 54211
Joined: 11 Mar 09
Followers: 23



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 1,036,562.50
Ranked:
#743

 
quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
Thanks bro 




You are welcome bro
Your channel can go live? 
​​​​​​



Once in your life you will come across a special person that makes you happy, supports you and makes you a better person, don't let them go! 😍💋😊🇸🇬


Past 10 Forum's AH Pick Results : LLWLWLWLLD (Updated 31/5/2025 @ 7:26PM)
For Under/Over : UOOUUUUOUU & Even/Odd : EEOEOEEOOE


Posted English Forum 25/5/2025 @ 8:39PM : Brentford -1/4 (1-1) Lost Half
Posted America Forum 26/5/2025 @ 1:08AM : Cincinnati -0 (4-2) Lost
Posted Italian Forum 26/5/2025 @ 1:50AM : Parma +3/4 (2-3) Won
Posted Misc Forum 26/5/2025 @ 10:43PM : Mjallby AIF -1/2 (1-1) Lost
Posted Asian Forum 27/5/2025 @ 4:05PM : Jeju -0 (0-1) Won
Posted German Forum 27/5/2025 @ 11:49PM : Braunschweig -1/2 (0-2) Lost
Posted Asian Forum 28/5/2025 @ 1:33PM : Cerezo Osaka +1/4 (0-0) Won Half
Posted America Forum 28/5/2025 @ 11:52PM : Orlando City -1/4 (3-2) Lost
Posted Misc Forum 29/5/2025 @ 1:45PM : Brommapojkarna -0 (0-1) Lost
Posted Asian Forum 31/5/2025 @ 1:33PM : Avispa Fukuoka -0 (0-0) Draw No Bet


Latest pick : Posted Misc Forum 31/5/2025 @ 7:47PM : Elfsborg -0


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
BNW
(Est. May 2019)

Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 91,753,437 Total Members: 1553
 
Fahrenheit  1 Likes  
 Like     
Fahrenheit 07-May 2025 Wednesday 4:30 PM (25 days ago)            #7
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 53539
Liked By: 41498
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 47



    

Tipsters
Championship:
Player has
not started

 
quote originally posted by tng thong kuo:

You are welcome bro
Your channel can go live? 
​​​​​​



I never make live, coz live streaming need to use encoder software, and after thinking about it, i think no point to do live streaming, coz my channel is just sharing music, not show my face to people
 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Total Members: 46
 
tng thong kuo  1 Likes  
 Like     
tng thong kuo 07-May 2025 Wednesday 4:40 PM (25 days ago)            #8
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 69972
Liked By: 54211
Joined: 11 Mar 09
Followers: 23



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 1,036,562.50
Ranked:
#743

 
May be this kind of live bro
If viewers like your music, they can use your videos as background music
While they are studying, driving... Etc etc... Accumulate a lot of viewing time? 


 



Once in your life you will come across a special person that makes you happy, supports you and makes you a better person, don't let them go! 😍💋😊🇸🇬


Past 10 Forum's AH Pick Results : LLWLWLWLLD (Updated 31/5/2025 @ 7:26PM)
For Under/Over : UOOUUUUOUU & Even/Odd : EEOEOEEOOE


Posted English Forum 25/5/2025 @ 8:39PM : Brentford -1/4 (1-1) Lost Half
Posted America Forum 26/5/2025 @ 1:08AM : Cincinnati -0 (4-2) Lost
Posted Italian Forum 26/5/2025 @ 1:50AM : Parma +3/4 (2-3) Won
Posted Misc Forum 26/5/2025 @ 10:43PM : Mjallby AIF -1/2 (1-1) Lost
Posted Asian Forum 27/5/2025 @ 4:05PM : Jeju -0 (0-1) Won
Posted German Forum 27/5/2025 @ 11:49PM : Braunschweig -1/2 (0-2) Lost
Posted Asian Forum 28/5/2025 @ 1:33PM : Cerezo Osaka +1/4 (0-0) Won Half
Posted America Forum 28/5/2025 @ 11:52PM : Orlando City -1/4 (3-2) Lost
Posted Misc Forum 29/5/2025 @ 1:45PM : Brommapojkarna -0 (0-1) Lost
Posted Asian Forum 31/5/2025 @ 1:33PM : Avispa Fukuoka -0 (0-0) Draw No Bet


Latest pick : Posted Misc Forum 31/5/2025 @ 7:47PM : Elfsborg -0


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
BNW
(Est. May 2019)

Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 91,753,437 Total Members: 1553
   Like     
Fahrenheit 07-May 2025 Wednesday 5:07 PM (25 days ago)            #9
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 53539
Liked By: 41498
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 47



    

Tipsters
Championship:
Player has
not started

 
quote originally posted by tng thong kuo:
May be this kind of live bro
If viewers like your music, they can use your videos as background music
While they are studying, driving... Etc etc... Accumulate a lot of viewing time? 

 


Oh, this one is called playlist

i got many videos are playlist compilation, like top 10, top 20, top 30, top 40, top 50 and so on

 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Total Members: 46
 
tng thong kuo  1 Likes  
 Like     
tng thong kuo 07-May 2025 Wednesday 5:12 PM (25 days ago)            #10
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 69972
Liked By: 54211
Joined: 11 Mar 09
Followers: 23



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 1,036,562.50
Ranked:
#743

 
quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
Oh, this one is called playlist

i got many videos are playlist compilation, like top 10, top 20, top 30, top 40, top 50 and so on




OK good 
All the best to your you tube channel 



Once in your life you will come across a special person that makes you happy, supports you and makes you a better person, don't let them go! 😍💋😊🇸🇬


Past 10 Forum's AH Pick Results : LLWLWLWLLD (Updated 31/5/2025 @ 7:26PM)
For Under/Over : UOOUUUUOUU & Even/Odd : EEOEOEEOOE


Posted English Forum 25/5/2025 @ 8:39PM : Brentford -1/4 (1-1) Lost Half
Posted America Forum 26/5/2025 @ 1:08AM : Cincinnati -0 (4-2) Lost
Posted Italian Forum 26/5/2025 @ 1:50AM : Parma +3/4 (2-3) Won
Posted Misc Forum 26/5/2025 @ 10:43PM : Mjallby AIF -1/2 (1-1) Lost
Posted Asian Forum 27/5/2025 @ 4:05PM : Jeju -0 (0-1) Won
Posted German Forum 27/5/2025 @ 11:49PM : Braunschweig -1/2 (0-2) Lost
Posted Asian Forum 28/5/2025 @ 1:33PM : Cerezo Osaka +1/4 (0-0) Won Half
Posted America Forum 28/5/2025 @ 11:52PM : Orlando City -1/4 (3-2) Lost
Posted Misc Forum 29/5/2025 @ 1:45PM : Brommapojkarna -0 (0-1) Lost
Posted Asian Forum 31/5/2025 @ 1:33PM : Avispa Fukuoka -0 (0-0) Draw No Bet


Latest pick : Posted Misc Forum 31/5/2025 @ 7:47PM : Elfsborg -0


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
BNW
(Est. May 2019)

Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 91,753,437 Total Members: 1553
 
Fahrenheit  1 Likes  
 Like     
Fahrenheit 07-May 2025 Wednesday 5:13 PM (25 days ago)            #11
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 53539
Liked By: 41498
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 47



    

Tipsters
Championship:
Player has
not started

 
quote originally posted by tng thong kuo:

OK good 
All the best to your you tube channel


Thank you bro

 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Total Members: 46
 
tng thong kuo  1 Likes  
 Like     
LONGSTER 09-May 2025 Friday 1:23 PM (23 days ago)            #12
*Platinum Member*

Centennial Member


Posts: 109990
Liked By: 63465
Joined: 30 Jun 10
Followers: 3



Tipsters
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Player has
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Up for bro fahren 劲歌金曲




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
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