SBOTOP

FUN88 - Official Betting Partner for Newcastle FC

M88.com


Main Menu | Preferences | Search | Register | Log In
 
  Registered Forum Members: 272635 and growing!

[Match Preview] A-League: Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide Utd - AsianBandar.Com Forums

Gossip Corner 
 Main Menu > Gossip Corner > [Match Preview] A-League: Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide Utd

   » CHAT Now! « [ 63 Chatters Online ]
Search | Register | Log In
 ( Page 1 )  Go to Last Post    
Posted By Topic: [Match Preview] A-League: Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide Utd       - Views: 59
Fahrenheit
11-Jan 2025 Saturday 8:41 AM (13 days ago)
krislee  1 Likes  
              #1
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 53307
Liked By: 41372
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 40



    

Tipsters
Championship:
Player has
not started

 


 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Total Members: 46
 
krislee  1 Likes  
 Like     



seelangui
11-Jan 2025 Saturday 9:27 AM (13 days ago)            #2
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 93068
Liked By: 61622
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 27



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 66,701.38
Ranked:
#2349

 
U should do this long ago 😂



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Team Ranked: #71 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 1,019,201 Total Members: 20
   Like     
poolfans
11-Jan 2025 Saturday 9:32 AM (13 days ago)            #3
Bronze Member


Posts: 8452
Liked By: 5007
Joined: 08 Dec 07
Followers: 3



Tipsters
Championship:
Player has
not started

 
What happens when one of the 4parlay bet got postponed?
If 3 others bet won, they will recalculate payout for 3?



   Like     
Fahrenheit
11-Jan 2025 Saturday 9:36 AM (13 days ago)            #4
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 53307
Liked By: 41372
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 40



    

Tipsters
Championship:
Player has
not started

 
quote originally posted by poolfans:
What happens when one of the 4parlay bet got postponed?
If 3 others bet won, they will recalculate payout for 3?




 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Total Members: 46
   Like     
Fahrenheit
11-Jan 2025 Saturday 10:42 AM (13 days ago)            #5
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 53307
Liked By: 41372
Joined: 26 May 08
Followers: 40



    

Tipsters
Championship:
Player has
not started

 
quote originally posted by seelangui:
U should do this long ago 😂



I fear treading on a red line. Later when i try to apply for monetization i may get rejected because of this type of videos

 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Total Members: 46
   Like     
seelangui
11-Jan 2025 Saturday 12:34 PM (13 days ago)            #6
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 93068
Liked By: 61622
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 27



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 66,701.38
Ranked:
#2349

 
quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
I fear treading on a red line. Later when i try to apply for monetization i may get rejected because of this type of videos



No la u know many ppl also doing
this get monetization also
Wc prediction euros epl
As long as no sexy politics or u knows la😂
monetization must selling something on
Below so members could buy from u
Also can get some commission also😋
If want to try find jogk he can help u
 



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Team Ranked: #71 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 1,019,201 Total Members: 20
   Like     
seelangui
11-Jan 2025 Saturday 1:55 PM (13 days ago)            #7
*Diamond Member*


Posts: 93068
Liked By: 61622
Joined: 30 May 11
Followers: 27



    

Tipsters
Championship:
AB$: 66,701.38
Ranked:
#2349

 
quote originally posted by poolfans:
What happens when one of the 4parlay bet got postponed?
If 3 others bet won, they will recalculate payout for 3?



They considered u won 3 fold but
the matches postponed must not be played 
Within 48 hours in postponed also​​
if not its counted in
If u not sure just waiting until sp pools 
announced the match postponed 
U go collect the money 👍
 



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
東方不敗
(Est. Nov 2013)

Team Ranked: #71 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 1,019,201 Total Members: 20
   Like     
[Go Back to Top]
 Main Menu > Gossip Corner > [Match Preview] A-League: Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide Utd



Change Timezone:   
 
6. H_M ms

AsianBookie.com Forums Home | Back to AsianBookie.com

© Copyright 1998-2025 AsianBookie.Com - All rights reserved.
Advertise Feedback Privacy Policy Terms of Service